State Police News

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

19.42%chance

9512284

OptionVotes

YES

2037

491

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.94%chance

6810620

OptionVotes

YES

1945

515

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Jan 13, 8:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

348063

OptionProbability

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state police arrest ICE agents by July 2026?

Oct 15, 3:07 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

10.73%chance

244347

OptionVotes

YES

2884

347

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Jun 26, 7:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.41%chance

693556

OptionVotes

YES

2046

818

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

14%chance

232963

OptionVotes

YES

2478

403

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.74%chance

331805

OptionVotes

YES

1053

747

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Prediction markets for State Police

Prediction markets for State Police

Prediction markets for State Police

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state police arrest ICE agents by July 2026?

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

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