State Police News

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

11.68%chance

10215083

OptionVotes

YES

2750

364

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.75%chance

8214012

OptionVotes

YES

2506

400

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Jan 13, 8:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

348063

OptionProbability

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump wins 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Trump loses 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

10.22%chance

263652

OptionVotes

YES

2964

337

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Jun 26, 7:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.41%chance

693556

OptionVotes

YES

2046

818

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.74%chance

331805

OptionVotes

YES

1053

747

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.13%chance

291546

OptionVotes

YES

260

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.79%chance

161362

OptionVotes

YES

1696

589

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Mar 26, 12:50 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

87.24%chance

391339

OptionVotes

YES

1648

830

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

May 6, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.4%chance

14611

OptionVotes

YES

1026

816

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

May 6, 5:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.22%chance

7102

OptionVotes

YES

237

109

How will Katie Wilson leave office

Aug 23, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

Resigns

Loses Re-Election

Chooses not to run for Re-Election

Dies in office

Recalled

Removed by the City Council

State Police News

Top stories

Prediction markets for State Police

Prediction markets for State Police

Prediction markets for State Police

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?

Will another police killing in the United States go seriously viral before 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2030?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2035?

How will Katie Wilson leave office

Latest stories