Strategy News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Strategy
Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy by December 2027?
Aug 12, 4:40 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
21.71%chance
191797
OptionVotes
1772
640
When will LLMs be better at Paradox grand strategy games than the in-game AI for NPCs?
Mar 23, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61105
OptionProbability
28
13
13
13
13
10
8
2
Will Paradox Interactive publish a grand strategy game set in 2000s/2010s before 2031?
May 4, 12:08 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
11.77%chance
131073
OptionVotes
274
37
Will Nayib Bukele's Anti-Gang strategy be seen as a positive model in 2030?
Feb 25, 9:55 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM
42.03%chance
13835
OptionVotes
1355
600
Will Paradox release a NEW grand strategy game that covers the year 866 as part of its unmodded timeline by end 2029?
Feb 15, 8:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.4%chance
3798
OptionVotes
198
51
Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before the end of 2027?
Dec 31, 2:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
42.3%chance
26792
OptionVotes
1128
887
Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before 2030?
Dec 31, 7:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.48%chance
17719
OptionVotes
1215
507
Are Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑
Apr 4, 11:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
31.88%chance
10649
OptionVotes
148
69
Will Paradox Interactive publish a Cold War grand strategy game before the end of 2027?
Dec 31, 7:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16.55%chance
12408
OptionVotes
382
72
OptionVotes
1010
994
Will "The Failed Strategy of Artificial Intelligenc..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Feb 1, 5:45 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
9.92%chance
340
OptionVotes
140
95
Will Paradox release a grand strategy game that covers the year 632 as part of its unmodded timeline by the end of 2029?
Feb 15, 8:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39%chance
325
OptionVotes
125
80
Latest stories
Latest stories