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Prediction markets for Succinct
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
Mar 16, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
94.35%chance
32448387
OptionVotes
9567
1323
Will GitHub Continuous Integration accept SNARKs by 2028?
Mar 29, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.33%chance
412262
OptionVotes
1631
868
OptionVotes
1286
740
Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?
Jun 29, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
72.11%chance
14372
OptionVotes
1003
984
1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
May 16, 4:34 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
54.79%chance
432
OptionVotes
123
108
10B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
Mar 23, 5:49 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
33.41%chance
323
OptionVotes
130
96
OptionProbability
50
50
42
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