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Prediction markets for SuperCable
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.41%chance
8651855680
OptionVotes
48027
8571
Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?
Jul 26, 2:17 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM
1.05%chance
144115514
OptionVotes
50587
234
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?
Feb 24, 9:01 AMJan 2, 12:40 AM
1.19%chance
4273675
OptionVotes
5203
848
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?
Jul 28, 10:19 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM
2.82%chance
10334002
OptionVotes
11531
834
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
Feb 23, 12:18 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
42.11%chance
3112543
OptionVotes
1065
895
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
Feb 10, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
31.06%chance
296848
OptionVotes
1071
776
Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?
Jan 21, 12:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
9.31%chance
565620
OptionVotes
3083
400
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
Feb 17, 2:23 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
36.27%chance
333281
OptionVotes
1125
657
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
Feb 7, 10:31 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
28.84%chance
332289
OptionVotes
1030
842
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Feb 11, 4:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
36.09%chance
241606
OptionVotes
1042
859
What will come first Superconductor or Cure for cancer? (Yes Conductor, No Cancer)
Aug 5, 12:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.01%chance
271501
OptionVotes
1199
544
Will NVIDIA release the 'DGX Quantum' (hybrid quantum supercomputer) before 2028 ?
Jan 30, 2:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.47%chance
12204
OptionVotes
1091
951