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Top stories

Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan

Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan

Authors

3

1 year ago

Four Years After Taliban Takeover Marked by Aerial Flower Display, Afghanistan Faces Crisis Amid Russia Recognition and Refugee Repatriation

US Foreign Policy

Four Years After Taliban Takeover Marked by Aerial Flower Display, Afghanistan Faces Crisis Amid Russia Recognition and Refugee Repatriation

Authors

24

1 year ago

Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador

Pakistani Drone Strikes Kill Three Children in Afghanistan’s Khost and Nangarhar, Afghan Foreign Ministry Summons Pakistan Ambassador

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Taliban

Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?

Aug 29, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.1%chance

232584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2349

864

Which country will the U.S. declare war on next?

Oct 3, 8:29 AMAug 1, 4:59 AM

292360

OptionProbability

Other

Iran

The People's Republic of China

Lebanon

Afghanistan (Taliban)

Libya (any of their competing governments)

Kekistan

Israel

50

27

14

4

3

2

1

1

Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?

Dec 8, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.69%chance

18912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1692

700

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?

Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.42%chance

23749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

788

Will Taliban start a nuclear program by 2030?

Aug 17, 3:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

9.68%chance

31742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1399

917

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

17556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

817

Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030

Oct 27, 7:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8424

OptionProbability

Same # of countries as Oct 2025

Fewer countries than in Oct 2025

More countries than in Oct 2025

Other

52

35

11

3

Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)

Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

76.62%chance

16398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

963

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43%chance

9157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will the Taliban control Afghanistan in 2035?

Mar 26, 4:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

6121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

92

Will the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?

Jul 17, 6:08 AMJul 17, 6:59 AM

51.07%chance

9101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

200

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