OptionProbability
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
Other (10m+ deaths)
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
Worldwide Pandemic
55
37
32
14
10
8
5
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1020
962
1518
659
1520
658
Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives
Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)
Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs
Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies
Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies
53
51
50
28
1106
905
100
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