Tempo News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Tempo
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?
Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
25.46%chance
4617992
OptionVotes
1420
799
Will we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
Jul 19, 5:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
2.56%chance
81015
OptionVotes
770
112
Will there be a Ukraine-Russia ceasefire, even if temporary, before the end of Halloween 2025?
Oct 31, 8:08 PMOct 31, 8:08 PM
14.1%chance
21799
OptionVotes
247
41
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
Oct 4, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3%chance
12779
OptionVotes
689
86
Will the European Common Frog (Rana temporaria) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 29, 10:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
6.91%chance
4491
OptionVotes
989
378
Will Trump revoke the temporary legal status of Ukrainian refugees in 2025 before the war has ended?
Mar 6, 2:16 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
62.23%chance
9466
OptionVotes
128
78
AGI risk will force something akin to "divine intervention" that temporarily restricts *everyone's* freedom by 2030
Mar 27, 10:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.79%chance
5313
OptionVotes
369
67
OptionProbability
62
16
16
7
Will I think temporolocal peak bizarro occurred between 24' Dec 1. and 25' May 1. in context of middle 2020's?
Jan 9, 7:01 AMAug 14, 8:59 PM
33%chance
669
OptionVotes
302
215
Between 2024 and 2030, how many people will be temporarily or permanently displaced by floods in the Netherlands?
Mar 3, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
341
OptionProbability
49
17
17
17
Will Ron Wyden ever become the president pro tempore of the Senate?
Sep 11, 5:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
45.25%chance
15
OptionVotes
75
65
Latest stories
Latest stories