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Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8.8%chance
8871888999
OptionVotes
32341
9739
Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade
Apr 5, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.62%chance
13623838
OptionVotes
1928
769
Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?
May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
26.61%chance
3519502
OptionVotes
14866
7407
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
Feb 23, 12:18 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
31.3%chance
3412919
OptionVotes
1196
892
[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
Jan 7, 12:00 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM
1410404
OptionProbability
45
33
11
4
3
2
1
1
Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
Oct 16, 12:16 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
89.83%chance
296621
OptionVotes
1720
850
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
Feb 17, 2:23 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
32.42%chance
363475
OptionVotes
1079
747
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
Feb 7, 10:31 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
25.92%chance
342389
OptionVotes
1011
957
Will temperatures in Berlin, Germany, reach 40°C this summer?
Jun 13, 8:58 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
23.47%chance
261814
OptionVotes
1806
554
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Feb 11, 4:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
34%chance
241636
OptionVotes
1012
914
Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?
Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.49%chance
10163
OptionVotes
1218
1095
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
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