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Prediction markets for Tencent
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
230123790
OptionProbability
20
13
11
11
11
10
9
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM
5826767
OptionProbability
67
26
25
21
20
20
20
18
18
17
17
15
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?
Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6219845
OptionProbability
16
13
12
11
10
8
7
7
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM
3216476
OptionProbability
99
99
99
99
99
95
90
68
62
57
51
46
11
9
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which gaming companies will layoff 20%+ of their workforce by end 2026?
Feb 28, 9:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
368081
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
81
75
72
72
63
61
55
53
50
50
50
49
46
41
36
32
31
28
25
25
25
22
22
22
21
21
19
15
14
13
8
7
6
5
OptionProbability
100
100
87
70
59
51
50
46
45
45
41
41
41
38
37
35
34
34
34
30
28
27
27
26
25
24
24
24
23
22
22
21
20
19
12
11
10
10
10
9
5
1
1
OptionProbability
100
100
27
16
13
5
5
4
3
OptionVotes
1249
902
Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
73325
OptionProbability
17
17
17
12
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
OptionProbability
36
32
7
5
5
5
5
5
Will Ma Huateng (CEO of Tencent) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 22, 1:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.99%chance
8191
OptionVotes
231
126
Which of the following companies will be in the top 20 companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1st 2050?
Jan 28, 4:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
11157
OptionProbability
60
58
55
55
52
52
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
45
45
41
41
40
40
38
38
38
31
31
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