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The Beatles News

    Prediction markets for The Beatles

    OptionProbability

    President with Green Eyes elected

    Crewed mission to Phobos

    USA adds 52nd state

    Room temperature superconductor discovered

    UK has a queen again

    24th Doctor Who regenerates into the 25th

    Olympics hosted in Japan again

    Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 1B

    RSA-2048 cracked

    Harlem Globetrotters lose again

    2000 Pokemon Released or franchise ceases

    The Beatles music enters the public domain

    Batman enters the public domain

    Hershey's reintroduces the Gold bar

    Norway Bans Whaling

    human dies on the moon

    African company or country lands on moon

    Japan Bans Whaling

    Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 500M

    Pokemon Card sells for $10M

    First hispanic USA president

    Olympics hosted in Africa

    Longest suspension bridge record broken

    Team Fortress 3 releases

    Country claims the Bir Tawil triangle

    Pickleball in the Olympics

    End support date for Windows 12

    Grand Theft Auto 7 releases

    The next 9.0 magnitude earthquake

    USA fully ends embargo on Cuba

    Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft or Amazon announces a new CEO (after 2026)

    19th Doctor Who regenerates into 20th

    USA Adds 51st state

    ChatGPT 10 releases

    Superman enters the public domain

    Human walks on mars

    The version after Windows 12 releases

    China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

    Centennial Lightbulb burns out

    Underwater hold breath world record broken

    Blood Meridian movie release

    Destiny retires from regular streaming

    First asian USA president (as judged by self ID & manifold opinion after inauguration)

    Bugs Bunny enters public domain

    Windows 11 end support date

    Peppa Pig ends

    EU reaches 30 member states

    Grimace Shake returns to McDonalds

    Sitting USA president visits Belize for the first time

    The first $10T market cap company

    Bitcoin reaches $200K USD

    Taika Waititi's Star Wars film releases

    India hosts the Olympics

    1500 Pokemon Released

    Civilization 8 releases

    Star Citizen releases or company ceases

    Family Guy ends

    Two grand slams in one MLB game by one player again

    Kingdom Hearts 4 releases

    First female USA president

    South Park ends

    Chicago ends on Broadway

    Manifold reaches 20K MAU

    Xi no longer in power in China

    James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases

    Simpsons ends

    Iceland Bans Whaling

    Another MLB perfect game pitched

    1300 Pokemon Released

    Sagrada Familia Church completed

    One piece manga ends

    Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken

    Human walks on moon again

    Trump Dies

    Book of Mormon ends on Broadway

    Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases

    Half Life 3 releases

    USA's Doris Miller aircraft carrier launched

    Bitcoin reaches $150K USD

    Manifold reaches 40K MAU

    Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire

    Skibidi Toilet ends

    a third Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out

    ChatGPT 7 releases

    a USA president impeached again

    Putin no longer in power in Russia

    Shrek 5 releases

    Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)

    marijuana no longer federally a schedule 1 drug in the USA

    Grand Theft Auto 6 releases

    ChatGPT 6 releases

    First Trillionaire (USD)

    Human runs official marathon under 2h

    Price of gold hits $5000/oz

    The first $5T market cap company

    USA discontinues or changes penny coin

    Death Stranding 2 releases

    First $100B revenue media franchise

    New Pope after Francis

    Civilization 7 releases

    Bitcoin reaches $100K USD

    Mario 64 120star speedrun WR 1h36m00s or less

    Dallas Mavericks play in the NBA championship

    Sweden joins NATO

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    1

    Will at least one of the Beatles still be alive in 2030?

    Jun 18, 8:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
    79.4%chance
    13988

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1685

    724

    When will things die? Odd year=100%, even=0%

    Jul 18, 4:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    6598

    OptionProbability

    America's president is older than China's top leader

    The independent polity of Taiwan (ie no foreign hostile troops)

    Elon's CEOship of Tesla

    Japan's got an emperor or empress who is in residence in Tokyo

    The Beatles (Paul or Ringo is still alive)

    USS Gerald Ford (aircraft carrier, is seaworthy and in mil service)

    The moon's long streak of having no humans on it

    Martian soil's virginity to a living human's foot

    North Korea's de facto physical / political independence

    Donald Trump's life

    Putin's life

    The 9****** series of CA passenger license plates

    53

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    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    251

    138

    Will Sam Mendes’ Beatles Tetralogy come out as planned?

    Feb 21, 3:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    8.82%chance
    6242

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    290

    30

    OptionProbability

    Paul

    George

    John

    Ringo

    38

    23

    21

    18

    Will there be a new “final” Beatles song this decade?

    Nov 5, 9:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    19.54%chance
    11209

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1098

    963

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    203

    120

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    169

    59

    OptionProbability

    Paul McCartney

    Ringo Starr

    51

    49

    Will any known Beatles song be lost by the year 3000?

    Mar 14, 4:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    44.81%chance
    896

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    214

    187

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