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Prediction markets for The Clearing Company
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.34%chance
497762100
OptionVotes
26665
3755
OptionProbability
80
79
77
70
64
62
60
59
59
21
21
0
Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?
Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM
9.29%chance
7639546
OptionVotes
31241
3201
OptionVotes
14050
6693
OptionVotes
1269
793
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM
25.33%chance
11415508
OptionVotes
1992
610
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
27%chance
1459501
OptionVotes
3594
1876
Which February 2026 Nasdaq-100 rule changes will take effect before 2027?
Feb 26, 3:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36680
OptionProbability
77
72
72
70
70
70
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%chance
745724
OptionVotes
2141
900
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.58%chance
233790
OptionVotes
1073
935
Will the first self-driving car company to deploy in 50 cities use an end-to-end approach?
Oct 6, 1:13 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM
72.59%chance
181548
OptionVotes
1736
350
Will Anthropic’s revenue run rate overtake OpenAI’s in 2026
Feb 25, 11:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.14%chance
14860
OptionVotes
1123
1080
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