The Creator News

Outside Lands Complaints Mount as Golden Gate Park Awaits 60,000-Person Finale

6 months ago

Chile

Colombia

Music

Lollapalooza Chile and Colombia’s Estéreo Picnic Reveal 2026 Lineups

5 months ago

Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?

Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

67.06%chance

177310

OptionVotes

YES

1427

701

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 1:50 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

3.43%chance

134407

OptionVotes

YES

5303

189

Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?

Dec 11, 2:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

5.49%chance

213037

OptionVotes

YES

2050

707

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.3%chance

132181

OptionVotes

YES

2332

878

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

1107

931

Will the Harry Potter universe outlive its creator?

Jan 15, 2:36 PMJan 15, 2:30 PM

74.81%chance

9292

OptionVotes

YES

172

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Dec 15, 1:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.49%chance

12146

OptionVotes

YES

1054

966

Will the creators of Emesis Blue release their second TF2 film 'Murder Inc' by the end of 2026?

Feb 19, 6:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.67%chance

467

OptionVotes

YES

134

Will the first account to surpass me on the Creator leaderboard be found to be a friend or alt of BTE within 12 months?

Feb 27, 6:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.95%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will I be the top creator on Manifold when the website shuts down?

Mar 7, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.96%chance

543

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will the person who slays me on the creator leaderboard have been an active user on the day I reached #1?

Dec 11, 6:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.83%chance

425

OptionVotes

YES

113

Will the person who slays me on the creator leaderboard have a user creation date from before I reached #1?

Dec 11, 6:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.58%chance

320

OptionVotes

YES

109

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Chile
Colombia
Music
Lollapalooza Chile and Colombia’s Estéreo Picnic Reveal 2026 Lineups
Authors
4
5 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Music
San Francisco
Culture
Outside Lands Complaints Mount as Golden Gate Park Awaits 60,000-Person Finale
Authors
11
6 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

The Creator News

Top stories

Prediction markets for The Creator

Prediction markets for The Creator

Prediction markets for The Creator

Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Will the Harry Potter universe outlive its creator?

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Will the creators of Emesis Blue release their second TF2 film 'Murder Inc' by the end of 2026?

Will the first account to surpass me on the Creator leaderboard be found to be a friend or alt of BTE within 12 months?

Will I be the top creator on Manifold when the website shuts down?

Will the person who slays me on the creator leaderboard have been an active user on the day I reached #1?

Will the person who slays me on the creator leaderboard have a user creation date from before I reached #1?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram