The Economist News

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

1 year ago

Trump Approval Ticks Up Toward 50% as Democrats Hold Generic Ballot Lead

US Elections

Politics

Trump Approval Ticks Up Toward 50% as Democrats Hold Generic Ballot Lead

1 year ago

Kalshi Adds Solana Support, Letting Users Fund Bets in SOL and USDC

Prediction Markets

Blockchains

Business

Kalshi Adds Solana Support, Letting Users Fund Bets in SOL and USDC

1 year ago

Europe

War

US Foreign Policy

EU Leaders Play Along With Trump as Putin Drags Out Ukraine Talks

1 year ago

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31%chance

642683358

OptionVotes

YES

5223

5020

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Jan 3, 12:27 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

8010689

OptionProbability

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.34%chance

344924

OptionVotes

YES

1120

892

Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

Mar 28, 8:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.52%chance

214753

OptionVotes

YES

2771

361

Which Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?

Apr 1, 11:44 AMJul 30, 10:59 PM

193986

OptionProbability

Liberal Democrats

Conservatives

Labour

A coalition of some description

No Party

Other

Green Party

Reform UK

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

30.62%chance

212184

OptionVotes

YES

1084

722

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.62%chance

292141

OptionVotes

YES

1762

673

What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?

Nov 26, 6:26 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

20.62%chance

5242

OptionProbability

YES

480

278

If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?

Apr 30, 10:32 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM

7200

OptionProbability

Wes Streeting

Keir Starmer

Al Carns

Ed Miliband

Andy Burnham

Angela Rayner

Which countries will the Economist make endorsements in elections for in Oct 2025 - Dec 2029?

Oct 23, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2114

OptionProbability

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

🇺🇸 United States

🇩🇪 Germany

🇯🇵 Japan

🇫🇷 France

🇮🇹 Italy

If this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?

May 1, 6:29 PMJun 15, 6:28 PM

167

OptionProbability

Ed Davey

Daisy Cooper

Layla Moran

Josh Babarinde

Will the Economist Democracy Index of India in 2027 be above 7?

Jul 25, 3:13 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

66.89%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

142

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By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

Which Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?

If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?

Which countries will the Economist make endorsements in elections for in Oct 2025 - Dec 2029?

If this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?

Will the Economist Democracy Index of India in 2027 be above 7?

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