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Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

10 months ago

Trump Approval Ticks Up Toward 50% as Democrats Hold Generic Ballot Lead

US Elections

Politics

Trump Approval Ticks Up Toward 50% as Democrats Hold Generic Ballot Lead

10 months ago

Kalshi Adds Solana Support, Letting Users Fund Bets in SOL and USDC

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Kalshi Adds Solana Support, Letting Users Fund Bets in SOL and USDC

10 months ago

Europe

War

US Foreign Policy

EU Leaders Play Along With Trump as Putin Drags Out Ukraine Talks

10 months ago

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.2%chance

619656382

OptionVotes

YES

5632

4083

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Jan 3, 12:27 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

8010689

OptionProbability

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.11%chance

334920

OptionVotes

YES

1126

888

Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

Mar 28, 8:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.51%chance

204250

OptionVotes

YES

2249

445

Which Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?

Apr 1, 11:44 AMJul 30, 10:59 PM

193986

OptionProbability

Liberal Democrats

Conservatives

Labour

A coalition of some description

No Party

Other

Green Party

Reform UK

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.52%chance

292067

OptionVotes

YES

1836

655

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

33.47%chance

151871

OptionVotes

YES

1117

652

Which country will be selected as "Country of the Year" by The Economist in 2026?

Dec 23, 3:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10732

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Venezuela

Argentina

Taiwan

China

India

Canada

Brazil

United Kingdom

Denmark

What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?

Nov 26, 6:26 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

20.62%chance

5242

OptionProbability

YES

480

278

What would be Burkina Faso classified as in The Economist Democracy Index for 2026?

Jan 25, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1229

OptionProbability

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?

Nov 27, 7:19 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

34.53%chance

6165

OptionProbability

YES

334

319

If this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?

May 1, 6:29 PMJun 15, 6:28 PM

167

OptionProbability

Ed Davey

Daisy Cooper

Layla Moran

Josh Babarinde

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By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

Which Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Which country will be selected as "Country of the Year" by The Economist in 2026?

What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?

What would be Burkina Faso classified as in The Economist Democracy Index for 2026?

If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?

If this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?

Latest stories

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