The New York Times News

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41239715

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.55%chance

799213

OptionVotes

YES

1428

958

What new word(s) will appear for the first time in the New York Times before 2030? [ADD SUGGESTIONS]

Feb 28, 11:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

524660

OptionProbability

Simping

copium

Metaculus

femcel

GPT-8

Aroace

Transbian

xenogender

AuDHD

otherkin

workslop

headmate

SDXL

Ameritrash

Underquilt

Mountainousness

mogged

chadlet

greebled

rizzful

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Manifund

NotKillEveryoneIsm

Rationalussy

100

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

324093

OptionVotes

YES

1147

768

Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?

Jul 27, 3:58 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.31%chance

463582

OptionVotes

YES

2941

761

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.03%chance

263041

OptionVotes

YES

1731

861

When will the first AI-generated book be on the New York Times Best Seller list?

Jul 2, 4:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

211662

OptionProbability

Before 2030

2040 or later

Between 2030-2039

Other

Never, AGI kills all humans first

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

1836

545

Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?

Apr 8, 2:39 AMApr 8, 4:59 AM

4.69%chance

201080

OptionVotes

YES

2032

916

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

Dec 2, 7:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.27%chance

8213

OptionVotes

YES

257

112

The New York Times will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Aug 4, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6158

OptionProbability

September 2026

December 2026

March 2026

June 2026

December 2025

September 2025

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16%chance

4122

OptionVotes

YES

171

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New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

What new word(s) will appear for the first time in the New York Times before 2030? [ADD SUGGESTIONS]

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

When will the first AI-generated book be on the New York Times Best Seller list?

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

The New York Times will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Latest stories

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