The New York Times News

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41239715

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

🧑‍⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?

Dec 27, 2:03 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM

54.64%chance

6314902

OptionVotes

YES

1050

859

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

78.74%chance

789163

OptionVotes

YES

1378

972

Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM

57.92%chance

534383

OptionVotes

YES

1044

928

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.3%chance

324036

OptionVotes

YES

1103

824

Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?

Jul 27, 3:58 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.31%chance

463582

OptionVotes

YES

2941

761

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?

Dec 28, 2:40 PMMay 31, 7:00 AM

27.96%chance

653119

OptionVotes

YES

1114

934

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.03%chance

263041

OptionVotes

YES

1731

861

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

1836

545

Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?

Apr 8, 2:39 AMApr 8, 4:59 AM

4.69%chance

201080

OptionVotes

YES

2032

916

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

Dec 2, 7:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.27%chance

8213

OptionVotes

YES

257

112

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16%chance

4122

OptionVotes

YES

171

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New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

🧑‍⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Latest stories

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