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Prediction markets for The Opps
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
Dec 26, 10:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
90.88%chance
774122
OptionVotes
3322
444
OptionProbability
67
30
4
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
26.12%chance
242582
OptionVotes
1682
595
Will US citizens have the opportunity to vacation in North Korea on January 1st 2040?
Feb 18, 10:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
27.54%chance
261108
OptionVotes
1121
931
If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?
Oct 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
38.35%chance
21889
OptionVotes
1268
789
Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?
Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM
20.06%chance
2875
OptionVotes
1334
101
Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
Jun 26, 6:46 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM
44.43%chance
18840
OptionVotes
1118
894
OptionVotes
1071
956
Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
Feb 21, 1:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.06%chance
18526
OptionVotes
1292
1016
By 2030, will any Democratic administration succeed in jailing their opponents?
Nov 8, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39.5%chance
3458
OptionVotes
1238
808
Will there be a significant public opposition to 6G cellular networks rollout when it happens?
Sep 1, 12:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.41%chance
13413
OptionVotes
1022
957
Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Mar 18, 12:00 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000