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Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
Jun 21, 12:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
0.74%chance
246689
OptionVotes
1195
9
Will the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?
Apr 1, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.51%chance
203260
OptionVotes
2414
498
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Aug 6, 10:52 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM
93.59%chance
192924
OptionVotes
3461
598
Will any LLM correctly answer the question "why doesn't the rocket equation apply to airplanes?" before 2026?
Jan 4, 6:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
91.91%chance
232645
OptionVotes
2942
617
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.02%chance
422432
OptionVotes
2237
340
Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
Sep 18, 7:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
20.2%chance
212292
OptionVotes
1274
854
Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?
Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
18.31%chance
371949
OptionVotes
1147
946
Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
78.8%chance
171411
OptionVotes
1856
580
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.02%chance
231312
OptionVotes
1998
618
Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?
May 10, 11:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.45%chance
15674
OptionVotes
1073
951
Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?
Jul 30, 4:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
35.86%chance
21627
OptionVotes
1112
718
Will SpaceX come up with new ways to send stuff into space that do not involve rockets by the end of 2030?
Aug 6, 6:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
11.65%chance
11283
OptionVotes
1195
947
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