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Top stories

Oval Invincibles Score 226/4 Record Total as Southern Brave Win Sixth Straight and Trent Rockets Beat Invincibles

Oval Invincibles Score 226/4 Record Total as Southern Brave Win Sixth Straight and Trent Rockets Beat Invincibles

Authors

3

6 months ago

Prediction markets for the Rockets

Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?

Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.91%chance

433672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1989

394

Will the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?

Apr 1, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.51%chance

203260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2414

498

Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 10:52 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

92.98%chance

193158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3227

615

Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 7:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

13.86%chance

222792

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1770

754

How many Falcon 9-family rockets will SpaceX have launched at the time of their retirement?

Aug 28, 2:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

91.25%chance

122113

OptionProbability

NO

YES

3017

429

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

946

Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.98%chance

241612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2298

564

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.77%chance

181518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1999

553

Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?

May 10, 11:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.45%chance

15674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

951

Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?

Jul 30, 4:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.86%chance

21627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

718

Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century?

Apr 16, 2:51 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5436

OptionProbability

Other

Djibouti

Kenya

Tanzania

South Africa

Nigeria

Egypt

Somalia

Equatorial Guinea

Morocco

A country not currently existing

39

30

10

10

5

2

1

1

0

0

0

Will SpaceX come up with new ways to send stuff into space that do not involve rockets by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 6:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.65%chance

11283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

947

Latest stories

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Cricket
Sports
Oval Invincibles Score 226/4 Record Total as Southern Brave Win Sixth Straight and Trent Rockets Beat Invincibles
Authors
3
6 months ago

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