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Prediction markets for Third Way
OptionVotes
4352
230
Will the scientific community accept aspects of quantum consciousness by 2030? 🧠🔬⚛️🌀
Feb 28, 8:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.16%chance
444502
OptionVotes
1029
932
OptionVotes
1117
894
OptionVotes
3781
265
Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?
Jun 12, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28.92%chance
183021
OptionVotes
1568
638
Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?
May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
74.76%chance
201911
OptionVotes
1721
581
OptionVotes
1098
770
If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?
Mar 17, 7:42 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
93.29%chance
8908
OptionVotes
399
116
Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Aug 3, 6:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
32.16%chance
9722
OptionVotes
1452
689
Will the title of Taylor Swift's 13th studio album have or reference the number 13?
Feb 22, 5:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
48.2%chance
11209
OptionVotes
1006
990
Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?
Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
46.84%chance
6163
OptionVotes
1065
939
Brazil 2026 Election: Will all third-way candidates stay below 10%?
May 27, 3:14 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM
76.25%chance
396
OptionVotes
179
56
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