TRA News

Kenya Investigates Tourist Disruption of Wildebeest Migration at Flooded Purungat Gate, TRA Probes, Stricter Overcrowding Rules Introduced

1 year ago

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.81%chance

34782796726

OptionVotes

YES

10702

8831

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.7%chance

835518679

OptionVotes

YES

58873

10436

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.24%chance

2186145

OptionVotes

YES

66101

1513

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM

9.73%chance

1827380

OptionVotes

YES

30483

3287

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Jun 8, 7:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9125944

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Microsoft

AMD

OpenAI or another company founded by Sam Altman

Other

Intel

Google

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

24.36%chance

2025690

OptionVotes

YES

10819

3069

Will superposition in transformers be mostly solved by 2026?

Mar 16, 7:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.19%chance

9218832

OptionVotes

YES

4726

4405

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.44%chance

3815185

OptionVotes

YES

6424

3116

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.48%chance

2914084

OptionVotes

YES

21724

4603

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27.17%chance

1459535

OptionVotes

YES

6060

4388

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.37%chance

509332

OptionVotes

YES

13170

3469

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Kenya
Natural Resources
Sustainability
Kenya Investigates Tourist Disruption of Wildebeest Migration at Flooded Purungat Gate, TRA Probes, Stricter Overcrowding Rules Introduced
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1 year ago

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Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Will superposition in transformers be mostly solved by 2026?

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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