TRA News

Kenya Investigates Tourist Disruption of Wildebeest Migration at Flooded Purungat Gate, TRA Probes, Stricter Overcrowding Rules Introduced

7 months ago

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.36%chance

34552766296

OptionVotes

YES

10139

9450

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

10.06%chance

826508702

OptionVotes

YES

57414

10596

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.4%chance

25635779

OptionVotes

YES

2187

1991

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Jan 6, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.2%chance

1628213

OptionVotes

YES

21940

4558

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

24.36%chance

2025690

OptionVotes

YES

10819

3069

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM

10.04%chance

1723720

OptionVotes

YES

29965

3343

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Jun 8, 7:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9023654

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Microsoft

AMD

OpenAI or another company founded by Sam Altman

Google

Intel

Other

Will superposition in transformers be mostly solved by 2026?

Mar 16, 7:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.27%chance

9118824

OptionVotes

YES

4733

4397

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

6351

3156

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.42%chance

236807

OptionVotes

YES

15488

6457

Russian translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?

Oct 4, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:24 PM

OptionProbability

Before 2025-12-31

2026-01-01 to 2026-06-30

2026-07-01 to 2026-12-31

2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30

2027-07-01 to 2027-12-31

No translation is published before 2028

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

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Aug 21, 2025
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Kenya
Natural Resources
Sustainability
Kenya Investigates Tourist Disruption of Wildebeest Migration at Flooded Purungat Gate, TRA Probes, Stricter Overcrowding Rules Introduced
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7 months ago

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Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Mo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Will superposition in transformers be mostly solved by 2026?

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Russian translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Latest stories

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