TRA News

Kenya Investigates Tourist Disruption of Wildebeest Migration at Flooded Purungat Gate, TRA Probes, Stricter Overcrowding Rules Introduced

4 months ago

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.64%chance

34402754093

OptionVotes

YES

12404

7868

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

12.63%chance

802467730

OptionVotes

YES

48915

11661

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Jan 25, 5:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.78%chance

7553121

OptionVotes

YES

46557

2925

Is the Hyperliquid tariff trader a Trump admin insider?

Oct 11, 12:50 AMJan 1, 1:41 AM

11.61%chance

1728233

OptionVotes

YES

27586

3625

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Jun 8, 7:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8719354

OptionProbability

Nvidia

Microsoft

AMD

Other

OpenAI or another company founded by Sam Altman

Intel

Google

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

6351

3156

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

31.39%chance

1714321

OptionVotes

YES

9178

3699

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.22%chance

213184

OptionVotes

YES

11698

8549

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

Aug 23, 3:36 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM

43.92%chance

72471

OptionVotes

YES

11299

8850

By how many years would AGI-induced transformative impact (defined as sustained global GDP growth of +5% annually) be de

May 18, 7:34 PMDec 31, 8:31 PM

OptionProbability

0 - 4

5 - 9

10 - 19

20 - 29

30 - 49

50 - 100

Above 100

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

Russian translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?

Oct 4, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:24 PM

OptionProbability

Before 2025-12-31

2026-01-01 to 2026-06-30

2026-07-01 to 2026-12-31

2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30

2027-07-01 to 2027-12-31

No translation is published before 2028

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Kenya
Natural Resources
Sustainability
Kenya Investigates Tourist Disruption of Wildebeest Migration at Flooded Purungat Gate, TRA Probes, Stricter Overcrowding Rules Introduced
Authors
4
4 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

TRA News

Top stories

Prediction markets for TRA

Prediction markets for TRA

Prediction markets for TRA

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Is the Hyperliquid tariff trader a Trump admin insider?

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Will Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?

By how many years would AGI-induced transformative impact (defined as sustained global GDP growth of +5% annually) be de

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Russian translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram