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Top stories

Rubio Meets Canada’s Anand in Washington as Trade Strains Mount

US Foreign Policy

Rubio Meets Canada’s Anand in Washington as Trade Strains Mount

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Trade

Will Bitcoin trade above $400k before it falls below $40k?

Dec 25, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.03%chance

7363037

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

924

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

24.36%chance

2025690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10819

3069

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

174275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3477

1297

Will there be a confirmed instance of acausal trade before 2040?

Mar 26, 12:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

47.27%chance

353657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1252

460

Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?

Aug 16, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.06%chance

122041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

887

Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?

Apr 21, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.4%chance

481669

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1285

658

AI Warning Signs: Before 2030, will an AI system make $50M in realized profits from traditional investments and trades?

Jan 18, 7:15 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

35.81%chance

101628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1339

747

Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?

Jan 4, 4:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.14%chance

261072

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

777

Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)

Aug 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.11%chance

14413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

864

Will Bitcoin trade above $1M before it falls below $10k?

Feb 1, 1:22 AMJan 1, 1:20 AM

49.05%chance

9275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

981

Will like 3 and more countrys introduce a complete ban on cryptocurrency trading before January 1, 2027?

Mar 19, 4:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.32%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

56.94%chance

1150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Canada
US Foreign Policy
Tariffs
Rubio Meets Canada’s Anand in Washington as Trade Strains Mount
Authors
5
1 year ago

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