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Prediction markets for TSMC
Will TSMC or any Taiwanese entity be accused of knowingly assisting the explosive pagers and battery attack on Lebanon?
Sep 18, 8:27 AMOct 8, 6:59 AM
5.72%chance
233679
OptionVotes
4058
246
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
May 7, 5:39 PMJan 1, 4:03 AM
67.2%chance
142233
OptionVotes
143
70
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
May 19, 4:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.47%chance
141542
OptionVotes
1318
759
Will TSMC incorporate room-temperature superconductors before 2029
Jul 27, 6:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.43%chance
201339
OptionVotes
1878
897
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
Oct 20, 2:50 AMOct 27, 3:59 AM
27%chance
191337
OptionVotes
1000
933
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
Apr 20, 2:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.44%chance
171096
OptionVotes
1029
972
OptionProbability
346
340
Will an apocalypse cult attempt to attack a TSMC facility before 2031?
Mar 7, 12:21 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
40%chance
11542
OptionVotes
122
82
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
18.8%chance
11517
OptionVotes
1236
905
Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan
Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.12%chance
21376
OptionVotes
1080
789
Will C.C. Wei (CEO of TSMC) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.4%chance
5166
OptionVotes
296
88
Will any TSMC researchers win any Nobel prizes by Eoy2031
Mar 19, 1:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
18.2%chance
6112
OptionVotes
212
47
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