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Prediction markets for UK Government

Will the UK introduce a wealth tax by end of 2025?

Jul 8, 11:29 AMDec 18, 11:59 PM

9.58%chance

9711012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7062

2009

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

33.07%chance

589366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

1018

Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?

May 20, 2:41 PMJan 8, 7:59 AM

44.8%chance

302531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

901

Will the UK Government offer >1000£ in tax incentives to people earning more than the UK median income to get health insurance before 2025?

Jan 2, 10:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

121938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2042

865

Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?

Jan 26, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.73%chance

181080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

972

874

Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?

Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.55%chance

5697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

9358

OptionProbability

Other

Reform majority

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Labour majority

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Labour minority

Reform minority

Conservatives majority

Conservatives minority

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

21

16

16

11

10

9

7

6

3

1

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

41.58%chance

3310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

844

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

47.04%chance

3170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2061

1942

UK government publishes a national ID implementation plan by end of 2025

Dec 17, 8:21 PMDec 31, 1:00 AM

20.73%chance

6160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

51

The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years

Jun 11, 10:06 PMJun 11, 11:59 PM

35.8%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

111

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