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Top stories

UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for UK Government

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

306426

OptionProbability

Labour majority

Reform majority

Reform minority

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Labour minority

Labour + Greens + Liberal Democrats coalition

Conservatives majority

Conservatives minority

Labour + Greens coalition

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Green + Liberal Democrats coalition

Other

Labour + Conservatives coalition

Labour + Reform coalition

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

[invalid] Coalition of more than two parties

17

16

16

14

13

6

4

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.25%chance

163003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

519

Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?

Jun 22, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.08%chance

182716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

640

Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?

Mar 28, 8:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.56%chance

112074

OptionVotes

NO

YES

468

150

Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?

Jan 26, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.44%chance

181102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

619

Will the UK government introduce mandatory military conscription by end of Dec 31, 2027?

Mar 3, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9%chance

20903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?

Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.55%chance

5697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

15506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

37.71%chance

4410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

778

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Will the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

64.81%chance

5216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

432

192

UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?

Jan 4, 1:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.7%chance

578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

97

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Britain
Space
Science
UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs
Authors
5
1 year ago

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