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Prediction markets for UK Government
OptionProbability
19
15
12
9
9
6
6
5
5
5
4
3
1
0
0
0
Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?
Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.07%chance
101522
OptionVotes
1223
818
Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?
Jan 26, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.44%chance
181102
OptionVotes
994
619
Will the UK government introduce mandatory military conscription by end of Dec 31, 2027?
Mar 3, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9%chance
20903
OptionVotes
318
31
Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
Mar 28, 8:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56%chance
8833
OptionVotes
375
206
Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?
Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.55%chance
5697
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election
Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39%chance
15506
OptionVotes
125
80
Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?
Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM
37.71%chance
4410
OptionVotes
1285
778
Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?
May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.22%chance
2225
OptionVotes
1110
901
Will the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?
Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
56.92%chance
4140
OptionVotes
372
231
The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years
Jun 11, 10:06 PMJun 11, 11:59 PM
35.8%chance
675
OptionVotes
154
111
UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
Jan 4, 1:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
57.11%chance
468
OptionVotes
115
87