UNC News
Top stories
Prediction markets for UNC
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.65%chance
10539006
OptionVotes
18122
919
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
6414313
OptionProbability
19
16
10
6
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.94%chance
3611687
OptionVotes
1685
594
Will Bill Belichick win a NCAA championship as UNC head coach
Dec 15, 11:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.08%chance
1511595
OptionVotes
3931
254
If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM
36.91%chance
5911079
OptionVotes
1524
406
More than 10% of children born in the US are unconventionally conceived by mid 2030
Dec 30, 9:10 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM
12.93%chance
714477
OptionVotes
2758
893
By 2030, will gene editing to cure serious genetic diseases be seen as generally uncontroversial?
Dec 23, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.69%chance
473174
OptionVotes
1539
770
OptionProbability
50
9
8
7
6
5
4
4
3
3
2
Will an AI-conducted archaeological analysis uncover a previously unknown civilization by 2030?
May 19, 3:45 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM
17.8%chance
451214
OptionVotes
1298
892
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?
Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.61%chance
5770
OptionVotes
1670
599
Strait or canal subject to UNCLOS transit passage rights closed by end 2030?
Sep 19, 5:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.48%chance
4334
OptionVotes
1031
970
OptionProbability
51
49


