Underdog News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Underdog
OptionProbability
Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer
Wolverine - Gulo gulo 🥉🥉
Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina 🥉
Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus
Coyote - Canis latrans
[⚔️Underdog] Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria 🥉🥉
Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius
Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus 🥉
House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus
[⚔️Frontrunner] Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris
❌Defeated: Lion - Panthera leo 🥈🥉🥉[beat by Dolphin]
❌Defeated: Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus [beat by Giant Nematode]
❌Defeated: Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Brown Rat]
❌Defeated: Dog - Canis familiaris 🥉🥈 [beat by Leopard seal]
❌Defeated: Cat - Felis catus 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Meerkat]
❌Defeated: Tiger - Panthera tigris 🥈🥈 [beat by Sulfur Cave Molly]
❌Defeated: Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus 🥉 [beat by Leopard Seal]
❌Defeated: Elephant - Loxodonta africana 🥈🥈[beat by Giant Nematode]
❌Defeated: Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca [beat by Polar Bear]
❌Defeated: Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri 🥉 [beat by Wolverine]
❌Defeated: Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum [beat by Great black-backed gull]
❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]
❌Defeated: Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis 🥈 [beat by Meerkat]
❌Defeated: Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]
❌Defeated: Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus 🥈 [beat byt Cat]
❌Defeated: Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus 🥈🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Red Fox]
🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum
❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]
🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]
🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)
❌Defeated: Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias [beat by Lion]
🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]
❌Defeated: Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus [beat by Housefly]
❌Defeated: Wolf - Canis lupus [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]
❌Defeated: Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes 🥉🥈 [beat by Giant Pacific Octopus]
❌Defeated: Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota [beat by Elephant]
❌Defeated: Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉🥉 [beat by Western Lowland Gorilla]
❌Defeated: Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]
❌Defeated: Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima 🥉🥉 [beat by Wolverine]
❌Defeated: Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]
❌Defeated: Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus [beat by Dog]🥉🥉🥈
❌Defeated: Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana [beat by Cat]
❌Defeated: Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus [beat by Ice Worm]
❌Defeated: Great evening bat - Ia io [beat by Lion]
❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]
❌Defeated: Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi [beat by Elephant]
❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]
❌Defeated: Penis snake - Atretochoana eiselti [beat by Cat]
❌Defeated: Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus [beat by Meerkat]
❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]
❌Defeated: Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]
❌Defeated: Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana [beat by Red Fox]
❌Defeated: Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini 🥉[beat by Ice Worm]
❌Defeated: Triceratops - Triceratops horridus [beat by Red Volcano Sponge]
❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]
❌Defeated: Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor [beat by Honey Badger]
❌Defeated: Kiwi - Apteryx australis [beat by Dog]
❌Defeated: Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus 🥉[beat by Platypus]
❌Defeated: Ice Worm - Mesenchytraeus solifugus 🥉🥉[beat by Tiger]
❌Defeated: Meerkat - Suricata suricatta 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait]
❌Defeated: Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉🥉🥉 [beat by Tiger]
❌Defeated: Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana [beat by Housefly]
❌Defeated: Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus 🥉 [beat by Western lowland gorilla]
❌Defeated: Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx 🥉🥈 [beat by Sulfur Cave Molly]
❌Defeated: Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Penguin]
❌Defeated: Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri [beat by Lion]
❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]
❌Defeated: New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax [beat by Hippopotamus]
❌Defeated: Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉 [beat by Western lowland gorilla]
❌Defeated: Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]
🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]
❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]
Other
12
11
11
11
11
9
8
8
8
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Safety Scored
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Any team scores 40+ points
Scorigami
Pick Six
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Any 400 yard passer
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Shutout
Overtime
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
Will a championship belt change teams?*
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Fake Punt
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A player gets an Octopus
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
93
67
41
22
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Pick Six
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Safety Scored
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Overtime
Fake Punt
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A player gets an Octopus
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Any 400 yard passer
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Shutout
Scorigami
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
All Starting Rookie QBs win
90
88
86
78
74
71
69
69
69
67
66
63
55
55
55
55
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
45
45
41
41
41
40
38
37
37
37
34
31
21
20
17
8
5
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Pick Six
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Safety Scored
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Overtime
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Fake Punt
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A player gets an Octopus
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Any 400 yard passer
Shutout
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
Scorigami
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
92
84
80
78
74
71
70
69
68
62
54
53
53
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
47
46
46
46
45
45
45
45
42
41
41
39
39
38
38
37
36
34
33
22
18
18
6
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Pick Six
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Any team scores 40+ points
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Fake Punt
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Overtime
Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A player gets an Octopus
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Scorigami
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Shutout
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
91
85
76
76
72
72
71
69
59
59
57
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
47
45
45
45
45
45
41
37
31
31
31
31
29
23
19
10
6
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Any team scores 40+ points
Pick Six
Overtime
Safety Scored
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Fake Punt
A player gets an Octopus
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Fat Guy Touchdown*
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
Shutout
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any 400 yard passer
Scorigami
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
93
86
80
80
78
71
69
69
69
66
55
54
53
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
45
45
45
44
41
41
41
41
41
40
38
37
34
31
31
31
26
26
20
5
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
Pick Six
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Safety Scored
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Overtime
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Fake Punt
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A player gets an Octopus
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Any 400 yard passer
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Shutout
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Scorigami
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
90
85
78
77
73
70
70
69
67
60
55
54
52
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
48
47
47
47
45
45
45
45
41
41
41
40
39
38
38
37
37
34
34
33
22
20
20
5
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Pick Six
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Any team scores 40+ points
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Fake Punt
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Overtime
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A player gets an Octopus
Fat Guy Touchdown*
Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Shutout
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Scorigami
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
96
89
83
76
74
73
72
72
69
57
57
55
55
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
45
45
41
41
38
37
37
35
33
31
29
19
7
5
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Pick Six
Any team scores 40+ points
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Overtime
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Safety Scored
Fake Punt
Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Shutout
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Scorigami
A player gets an Octopus
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
96
86
85
80
77
74
74
72
71
69
55
55
53
53
53
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
49
47
47
45
45
45
45
37
37
37
34
31
31
29
26
20
14
6
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Pick Six
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Overtime
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Fake Punt
A player gets an Octopus
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Shutout
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any 400 yard passer
Scorigami
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
86
86
76
74
74
69
69
69
59
57
55
54
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
45
45
45
45
45
45
41
38
37
37
34
31
31
29
20
20
17
5
OptionProbability
defeated four or fewer animals itself
is a vertebrate
Lives primarily on land
was an underdog at least once
is a mammal
won all its battles through a manifestly obvious fight
Is extinct
has more than 4 legs
defeated more than 10 animals by itself
84
70
70
65
45
20
18
8
8
Will "Underdog bias rules everything around me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1022
874