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Prediction markets for United Nations
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?
Apr 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
13%chance
405517
OptionVotes
3386
1646
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?
Apr 18, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
35.02%chance
494214
OptionVotes
1086
911
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.38%chance
333131
OptionVotes
2064
745
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2026?
Jun 13, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.63%chance
203068
OptionVotes
3480
287
WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?
Sep 8, 6:24 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
20.68%chance
282533
OptionVotes
1959
511
Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?
Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM
27.72%chance
151611
OptionVotes
1615
619
Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?
Nov 13, 11:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
63.62%chance
241280
OptionVotes
1168
856
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?
Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.72%chance
24883
OptionVotes
1046
960
Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?
Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
79.79%chance
19740
OptionVotes
1475
826
Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
62.59%chance
17556
OptionVotes
1081
817
OptionVotes
1269
788
Will there be a woman secretary of the United Nations before the end of 2045?
Apr 1, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78.85%chance
13233
OptionVotes
1182
917