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UNRWA News

    Prediction markets for UNRWA

    🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Mar 12, 3:28 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
    4410899

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Donald Trump

    Yulia Navalnaya

    UNRWA

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Greta Thunberg

    MSF / Doctors without Borders

    Vladimir Putin

    Bill Gates / Gates Foundation

    The International Court of Justice

    UNESCO

    Philippe Lazzarini

    Joe Biden

    Alexei Navalny

    Kyaw Moe Tun

    José Andrés

    World Uyghur Congress

    Maria Corina Machado

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights

    Timnit Gebru

    Elon Musk

    NATO

    Netanyahu

    JD Vance

    AOC

    Antonio Guterres

    Julian Assange

    David Attenborough

    Pope Francis

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Keir Starmer

    European Union

    Ilham Tohti

    Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

    International Court of Justice

    Jacinda Ardern

    Raoni Metuktire

    José Andrés

    Loujain al-Hathloul

    Ilwad Elman

    Wa Lone

    Narendra Modi

    Yvonne Ridley

    Hajer Sharief

    Alexis Tsipras

    Isaias Afwerki

    Nathan Law

    Agnes Chow

    Filippo Grandi

    Yuan Longping

    Mahbouba Seraj

    Narges Mohammadi

    Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

    Juan Carlos Jintiach

    Joshua Wong

    Ernest Moniz

    DOGE

    Kamala Harris

    Noam Chomsky

    International Fact-Checking Network

    Manifold Markets

    Justin Trudeau

    Aleksandr Lukashenko

    Sam Altman

    Kim Jong Un

    Abdullah Öcalan

    Daniel Sheehan

    Robert Kennedy Jr

    @Krantz

    Gustavo Petro

    The Iranian protesters

    Peacekeepers

    71

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

    Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
    213780

    OptionProbability

    Paris Climate Agreement

    United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

    World Health Organization (WHO)

    United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

    United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

    World Trade Organization (WTO)

    North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

    International Labour Organization (ILO)

    Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

    Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

    World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

    International Monetary Fund (IMF)

    World Bank

    International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

    United Nations (UN)

    International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

    99

    95

    95

    80

    80

    72

    56

    54

    54

    49

    44

    43

    40

    36

    34

    17

    If H.R 9495 is passed, which nonprofits will be targeted by it before 2029?

    Nov 23, 4:43 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
    153191

    OptionProbability

    United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

    Greenpeace

    Alliance for Global Justice

    Amnesty International

    International Workers of the World (IWW)

    Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)

    UNICEF

    Media Matters for America

    Planned Parenthood

    Oxfam

    AFL-CIO

    GiveDirectly

    United Auto Workers (UAW)

    Archive Of Our Own (AO3)

    Southern Poverty Law Center

    NAACP

    League of Conservation Voters

    Sierra Club

    GiveWell

    American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU)

    OpenAI

    The United Methodist Church (UMC)

    Against Malaria Foundation (AMF)

    85

    52

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    45

    43

    41

    37

    34

    34

    31

    31

    31

    28

    26

    26

    16

    15

    Will UNRWA be disbanded before the creation of a Palestinian state?

    Jan 29, 6:22 PMFeb 5, 9:59 PM
    60.35%chance
    6193

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    171

    128