UPS News

UPS Pulls Outlook After Profit Miss; Shares Fall

4 days ago

Company Earnings

Stocks

Pharma

Fulcrum Therapeutics Reports Q2 Results, Promising Phase 1b Sickle Cell Data, 14.2% Pre-Market Stock Drop

4 days ago

Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Aug 29, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98.54%chance

561564583

OptionVotes

YES

10380

579

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

64.04%chance

12037661

OptionVotes

YES

2270

1939

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.21%chance

19636758

OptionVotes

YES

3057

1177

If elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?

Jun 28, 4:42 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

19231439

OptionProbability

Trump publicly suggests, while in office, that he shouldn't have to leave

Trump leaves office when his term ends

Trump attempts something arguably coup-like (e.g. J6), but it fails

Trump supporters kill or hospitalise someone trying to prevent/protest him leaving

Trump leaves office early (e.g. via impeachment or he dies)

Trump remains in office after his term is up

Trump isn't elected (or fails to take office)

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

68.47%chance

6813447

OptionVotes

YES

1559

237

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

46.63%chance

10412863

OptionVotes

YES

1271

1003

If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?

May 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

218716

OptionProbability

Brakes hit

Capability limit in AI

Huge alignment effort

New AI paradigm

Slow and gradual capability gains in AI

Enhancing human minds and/or society

Major capability limit in AI

Non-AI tech

Alignment relatively easy

Brakes not hit

Alignment unnecessary

Well-behaved AI with bad ends

Alignment extra hard

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

65.8%chance

464001

OptionVotes

YES

1386

672

Will I manage to do a one-arm pull up in 2025?

Jul 27, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.11%chance

181304

OptionVotes

YES

1421

704

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Jan 2, 9:38 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.7%chance

131205

OptionVotes

YES

1338

1140

Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?

Feb 2, 5:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

171184

OptionVotes

YES

1275

567

Will Tom Holland and Zendaya break up before 2035?

Dec 19, 12:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.91%chance

11665

OptionVotes

YES

1465

416

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Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

If elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Will I manage to do a one-arm pull up in 2025?

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?

Will Tom Holland and Zendaya break up before 2035?

Latest stories

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