UPS News

Broward Judge Allows Stand Your Ground Hearing for Miami-Dade Officer Facing Manslaughter in 2019 Miramar UPS Shootout Killing Two

1 year ago

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

US Domestic Policy

Tariffs

Economics

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

1 year ago

Business

United States

U.S. Banks, Markets Close for Labor Day as Retailers Stay Open

1 year ago

When will I do my first clean pull-up?

Jan 4, 12:18 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

1758396

OptionProbability

Dec 2026 or later/never

Oct 2026

Nov 2026

Jun 2026

Jul 2026

Aug 2026

Sep 2026

Jan 2026

Feb 2026

Mar 2026

Apr 2026

May 2026

If elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?

Jun 28, 4:42 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

20340099

OptionProbability

Trump publicly suggests, while in office, that he shouldn't have to leave

Trump leaves office when his term ends

Trump attempts something arguably coup-like (e.g. J6), but it fails

Trump supporters kill or hospitalise someone trying to prevent/protest him leaving

Trump leaves office early (e.g. via impeachment or he dies)

Trump remains in office after his term is up

Trump isn't elected (or fails to take office)

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

64.3%chance

12237815

OptionVotes

YES

2261

1954

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.65%chance

19737118

OptionVotes

YES

3086

1164

If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?

May 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2519584

OptionProbability

Brakes hit

Huge alignment effort

Slow and gradual capability gains in AI

Alignment relatively easy

Capability limit in AI

Non-AI tech

New AI paradigm

Brakes not hit

Enhancing human minds and/or society

Major capability limit in AI

Alignment unnecessary

Well-behaved AI with bad ends

Alignment extra hard

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

23.47%chance

11615920

OptionVotes

YES

2089

579

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

60.88%chance

676175

OptionVotes

YES

1251

750

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Jan 2, 9:38 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.46%chance

131749

OptionVotes

YES

1195

1194

Will this tweet hold up: Sinners will be — should be — a Broadway show by 2035

Mar 16, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.72%chance

81627

OptionVotes

YES

7353

4926

Will David Schneider-Joseph's bet about Beta Amyloids and Alzheimer's end up true within 12 years?

Aug 17, 10:05 AMDec 31, 11:04 AM

47.29%chance

291208

OptionVotes

YES

1240

898

will I wake up? [cryonics]

Sep 11, 3:26 AMFeb 1, 4:21 AM

11.53%chance

7797

OptionVotes

YES

5273

2278

Will the 2028 Presidential Election Winner Mog the Runner-up?

Feb 26, 2:28 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

58.66%chance

7345

OptionVotes

YES

1112

813

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
US Domestic Policy
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US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries
Authors
86
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Business
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Aug 25, 2025
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When will I do my first clean pull-up?

If elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Will this tweet hold up: Sinners will be — should be — a Broadway show by 2035

Will David Schneider-Joseph's bet about Beta Amyloids and Alzheimer's end up true within 12 years?

will I wake up? [cryonics]

Will the 2028 Presidential Election Winner Mog the Runner-up?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram