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U.S. Banks, Markets Close for Labor Day as Retailers Stay Open
Authors
4
11 months ago
Prediction markets for UPS
OptionProbability
83
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
If elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?
Jun 28, 4:42 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM
20139190
OptionProbability
92
76
54
28
23
5
0
Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)
Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
64.08%chance
12237779
OptionVotes
2268
1941
OptionVotes
3086
1164
If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?
May 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
2519583
OptionProbability
52
49
48
41
40
38
35
28
28
20
14
14
3
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM
24.4%chance
11515870
OptionVotes
2039
595
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
56%chance
605671
OptionVotes
1136
832
In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?
Jan 2, 9:38 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
70.46%chance
131749
OptionVotes
1195
1194
Will this tweet hold up: Sinners will be — should be — a Broadway show by 2035
Mar 16, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.1%chance
81526
OptionVotes
7454
4864
Will David Schneider-Joseph's bet about Beta Amyloids and Alzheimer's end up true within 12 years?
Aug 17, 10:05 AMDec 31, 11:04 AM
46.86%chance
291199
OptionVotes
1232
907
OptionVotes
5273
2278
Will the 2028 Presidential Election Winner Mog the Runner-up?
Feb 26, 2:28 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
58.66%chance
7345
OptionVotes
1112
813
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- U.S. Banks, Markets Close for Labor Day as Retailers Stay OpenAuthors411 months ago