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Prediction markets for US Department of Justice
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.32%chance
8821179
OptionVotes
13505
8680
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
52.48%chance
8912775
OptionVotes
1051
952
OptionVotes
2330
429
Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?
Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
28%chance
725757
OptionVotes
1909
367
OptionProbability
90
74
24
22
18
13
12
10
4
4
3
3
Will the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?
Jun 12, 7:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.44%chance
141748
OptionVotes
1914
522
OptionVotes
544
18
United States of America v. Apple Inc. ⚖ Antitrust Case 2:24-cv-04055
Mar 21, 2:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
291582
OptionProbability
52
48
OptionProbability
80
66
66
66
65
62
55
55
55
52
48
48
47
47
43
40
36
36
33
32
Will Donald Trump enforce the ban on TikTok during his presidency?
Jan 17, 3:34 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM
11.67%chance
15637
OptionVotes
275
36
Will the Z-Library admins be extradited to the United States by the end of 2025?
Jul 9, 6:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16.2%chance
5130
OptionVotes
227
44
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