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Prediction markets for US Department of Justice
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.47%chance
9021683
OptionVotes
14005
8548
OptionVotes
5013
199
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
59.06%chance
9213274
OptionVotes
1201
833
Will Apple face any non-monetary consequences in United States of America v. Apple Inc.?
Mar 21, 3:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
28%chance
725757
OptionVotes
1909
367
Will the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?
Jun 12, 7:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.82%chance
242851
OptionVotes
2011
497
OptionVotes
384
26
United States of America v. Apple Inc. ⚖ Antitrust Case 2:24-cv-04055
Mar 21, 2:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
291582
OptionProbability
52
48
Will Donald Trump enforce the ban on TikTok during his presidency?
Jan 17, 3:34 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM
59%chance
20983
OptionVotes
120
83
OptionProbability
80
66
66
66
65
62
55
55
55
52
48
48
47
47
43
40
36
36
33
32
Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
Jan 3, 7:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.36%chance
16515
OptionVotes
198
51
Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew?
Feb 8, 4:05 PMFeb 7, 11:59 PM
31.64%chance
8209
OptionVotes
147
68
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