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Sony Adds “Severance” Star Tramell Tillman to New Spider-Man Film

9 months ago

Bella Ramsey Eyes Spider-Man Role, Plots Heist Film With Pedro Pascal

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Bella Ramsey Eyes Spider-Man Role, Plots Heist Film With Pedro Pascal

9 months ago

Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men

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Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men

9 months ago

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Sarah Jessica Parker Brushes Off Backlash Over ‘And Just Like That’ Finale

9 months ago

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.5%chance

553464228

OptionVotes

YES

2901

2279

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Dec 9, 4:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

3.06%chance

309228241

OptionVotes

YES

5460

724

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Dec 8, 7:32 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

14.59%chance

305154397

OptionVotes

YES

1736

882

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Dec 7, 10:20 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

35%chance

304121866

OptionVotes

YES

1232

1177

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Dec 8, 12:38 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

25.28%chance

25495284

OptionVotes

YES

1144

932

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

Mar 16, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76%chance

30635040

OptionVotes

YES

3001

2187

Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?

Mar 17, 3:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70%chance

19025337

OptionVotes

YES

1621

501

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.08%chance

188507

OptionVotes

YES

6378

3288

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Jan 5, 10:55 AMJan 12, 8:29 AM

89.25%chance

131018

OptionVotes

YES

455

147

Will "Varieties Of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 18, 8:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.42%chance

4372

OptionVotes

YES

1005

971

Which of the following is your favorite of an assorted candy variety pack?

May 28, 5:22 PM

Which cabbage variety do you prefer: green or red cabbage?

Oct 1, 4:00 AM

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Movies
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Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men
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4
9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
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Sony Adds “Severance” Star Tramell Tillman to New Spider-Man Film
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Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
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9 months ago
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9 months ago

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In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Will "Varieties Of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Which of the following is your favorite of an assorted candy variety pack?

Which cabbage variety do you prefer: green or red cabbage?

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