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Sony Adds “Severance” Star Tramell Tillman to New Spider-Man Film

1 year ago

Bella Ramsey Eyes Spider-Man Role, Plots Heist Film With Pedro Pascal

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Bella Ramsey Eyes Spider-Man Role, Plots Heist Film With Pedro Pascal

1 year ago

Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men

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Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men

1 year ago

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Sarah Jessica Parker Brushes Off Backlash Over ‘And Just Like That’ Finale

1 year ago

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.87%chance

563470419

OptionVotes

YES

3104

2046

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Dec 9, 4:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

3%chance

312235021

OptionVotes

YES

5550

721

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Dec 8, 7:32 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

16.86%chance

317161571

OptionVotes

YES

1527

920

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Dec 7, 10:20 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

37.81%chance

321132600

OptionVotes

YES

1284

1087

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Dec 8, 12:38 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.09%chance

274100650

OptionVotes

YES

1000

965

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.32%chance

3532173

OptionVotes

YES

17781

14066

Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?

Mar 17, 3:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73%chance

19425921

OptionVotes

YES

1724

460

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.82%chance

1910007

OptionVotes

YES

7878

2845

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Jan 5, 10:55 AMJan 12, 8:29 AM

89.25%chance

131018

OptionVotes

YES

455

147

Will "Varieties Of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 18, 8:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.42%chance

4372

OptionVotes

YES

1005

971

Which cabbage variety do you prefer: green or red cabbage?

Oct 1, 4:00 AM

Which of the following is your favorite of an assorted candy variety pack?

May 28, 5:22 PM

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Aug 21, 2025
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Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men
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1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
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In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Will "Varieties Of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Which cabbage variety do you prefer: green or red cabbage?

Which of the following is your favorite of an assorted candy variety pack?

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