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Sony Adds “Severance” Star Tramell Tillman to New Spider-Man Film

6 months ago

Bella Ramsey Eyes Spider-Man Role, Plots Heist Film With Pedro Pascal

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Bella Ramsey Eyes Spider-Man Role, Plots Heist Film With Pedro Pascal

6 months ago

Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men

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Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men

6 months ago

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Sarah Jessica Parker Brushes Off Backlash Over ‘And Just Like That’ Finale

6 months ago

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.47%chance

493409147

OptionVotes

YES

2991

2170

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Dec 9, 4:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

5%chance

295218429

OptionVotes

YES

3612

798

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Dec 8, 7:32 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

16.61%chance

288142536

OptionVotes

YES

1548

916

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Dec 7, 10:20 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

32.46%chance

289112679

OptionVotes

YES

1269

1185

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Dec 8, 12:38 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

23.26%chance

23290231

OptionVotes

YES

1236

902

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

Mar 16, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76.05%chance

28828786

OptionVotes

YES

3006

2185

Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?

Mar 17, 3:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.29%chance

19025144

OptionVotes

YES

1427

598

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.08%chance

188507

OptionVotes

YES

6378

3288

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Jan 5, 10:55 AMJan 12, 8:29 AM

89.25%chance

131018

OptionVotes

YES

455

147

Will "Varieties Of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 18, 8:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.42%chance

4372

OptionVotes

YES

1005

971

Which of the following is your favorite of an assorted candy variety pack?

May 28, 5:22 PM

Which cabbage variety do you prefer: green or red cabbage?

Oct 1, 4:00 AM

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Aug 21, 2025
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Disney Revives ‘Pirates’ Franchise in Push to Capture Gen Z Men
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Aug 20, 2025
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Aug 18, 2025
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In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Will "Varieties Of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Which of the following is your favorite of an assorted candy variety pack?

Which cabbage variety do you prefer: green or red cabbage?

Latest stories

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