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Prediction markets for WMO
OptionVotes
3796
840
Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
95.06%chance
122564
OptionVotes
3203
742
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
Jul 11, 3:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
48.98%chance
13443
OptionVotes
1146
816
Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?
Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.9%chance
8149
OptionVotes
1192
1092