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Prediction markets for Yes Bank

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.15%chance

5776632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39050

2561

Will Israel annex a part of the West Bank by the end of 2025?

Nov 17, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

15541706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

333

Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

Aug 17, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:49 AM

5.06%chance

23737959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2389

27

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

Jan 22, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.28%chance

3136946

OptionVotes

NO

YES

25582

5728

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

7532370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25533

3383

Delayed Social Security payments to at least 100,000 people before December 31, 2025

Feb 1, 9:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.91%chance

12423197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13029

7951

Will Israel fully annex the west bank by 2045?

Sep 23, 6:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.77%chance

154988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1697

589

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3582

645

Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ?

Jul 27, 11:29 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

22.57%chance

222518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1809

203

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.85%chance

15727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

729

Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?

Mar 17, 1:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.18%chance

11702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

698

70

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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