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Prediction markets for Yes Bank
OptionVotes
62487
1600
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10%chance
8141187
OptionVotes
29364
2889
OptionVotes
2249
36
Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
17.84%chance
4810173
OptionVotes
1609
816
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
Mar 6, 9:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
59.97%chance
808792
OptionVotes
1176
716
OptionVotes
3397
2484
OptionVotes
1067
932
Will a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?
Apr 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
57.45%chance
413347
OptionVotes
1382
439
OptionVotes
3582
645
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
42.85%chance
15727
OptionVotes
1151
729
OptionVotes
1095
1027
Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?
Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.42%chance
565
OptionVotes
4007
3989