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Prediction markets for York

Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

Jul 16, 5:26 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

855632235

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Andrew Cuomo

Eric Adams

Brad Lander

Curtis Sliwa

Andrew Yang

Jim Walden

Other

Scott Stringer

Zellnor Myrie

invalid

Jumaane Williams

Jessica Ramos

Letitia James

Michael Blake

Joseph Borelli

John Catsimatidis

Alicia Glen

Christine Quinn

Jessica tisch

Adrienne Adams

Whitney Tilson

82

9

4

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win the 2025 New York City (NYC) mayoral election?

Oct 13, 11:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

195102583

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Andrew Cuomo

Eric Adams

Curtis Sliwa

Other

Brad Lander

Scott Stringer

Jessica Ramos

Zellnor Myrie

83

9

6

1

1

0

0

0

0

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7756615

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

73

23

3

0

0

0

0

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40639245

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

Other

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

32

26

21

20

Status of the RAISE Act in New York on January 1, 2026

May 21, 9:19 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

1930517

OptionProbability

Has become law

Approved by the legislature but has not become law

Not approved by the legislature

63

36

1

Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?

Feb 21, 3:53 PMNov 29, 4:59 AM

9.05%chance

615851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3170

315

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.94%chance

769112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1332

984

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4842

207

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?

Dec 28, 2:40 PMMay 31, 7:00 AM

30.18%chance

612626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

967

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.19%chance

251716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1253

654

Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?

Mar 7, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.51%chance

411684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

925

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

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