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Prediction markets for York
Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?
Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM
7756948
OptionProbability
80
15
4
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
70
29
1
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41139585
OptionProbability
37
29
18
16
Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?
Nov 28, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3019658
OptionProbability
94
2
2
1
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
78.8%chance
779162
OptionVotes
1382
971
OptionVotes
4882
2686
OptionVotes
4842
207
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.84%chance
312654
OptionVotes
1161
751
OptionProbability
93
7
0
Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?
Mar 7, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28.51%chance
411684
OptionVotes
1011
925
Will Waymo be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?
Jan 23, 8:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
67.79%chance
411593
OptionVotes
1064
805
Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM
22.88%chance
71550
OptionVotes
1836
545
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