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Top stories

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Prediction Markets

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Authors

10

10 months ago

Cuban-Born Investor Hernandez Enters Crowded 2025 NYC Mayoral Race

Cuban-Born Investor Hernandez Enters Crowded 2025 NYC Mayoral Race

Authors

11

10 months ago

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Authors

12

10 months ago

Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor

Authors

3

10 months ago

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Adams

YourMovieSucks.org (Adam) Stock

Nov 15, 2:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

12826009

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2899

559

Unkle Adams Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 9:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

3115124

OptionProbability

YES

NO

577

473

Will Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:30 PM

31.58%chance

353262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1552

557

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.84%chance

292111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

503

Will Adam Chase or Ben Doyle endorse Alex Bores for Congress?

Jun 18, 8:56 PMJun 23, 10:59 PM

13.73%chance

121570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2507

399

Will there be a new Mt. Rushmore w/the faces of Jose Luis Ricon (JLR), Alexey Guzey, Adam Marblestone,and Isaak Freeman?

Dec 23, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.55%chance

5246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

376

93

Will Adam D'Angelo's prediction on GDP growth be correct? ( >50% growth of GDP growth/year starting < 4 years from 2023)

Mar 8, 7:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.89%chance

8151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

154

Will Jose Luis Ricon OR Adam Henry marblestone become an Xbox OR guitar hero avatar by 2033

Nov 20, 1:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.09%chance

160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Will Adam marblestone win a nobel prize by 2070

Jan 22, 10:15 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Adam Z. go to prison for the killing of Ewa Tylman?

Feb 21, 9:54 PMDec 22, 10:59 PM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

55

45

Will Adam Marblestone win a Kavli Prize by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Tony Kulesa outlive Adam Marblestone?

Sep 18, 9:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
New York
Politics
Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race
Authors
12
10 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
Prediction Markets
New York
Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout
Authors
10
10 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
New York
Culture
United States
Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor
Authors
3
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Elections
New York
Politics
Cuban-Born Investor Hernandez Enters Crowded 2025 NYC Mayoral Race
Authors
11
10 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Crime
New York
Culture
Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case
Authors
5
10 months ago

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