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Top stories

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Prediction Markets

Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout

Authors

10

5 months ago

Cuban-Born Investor Hernandez Enters Crowded 2025 NYC Mayoral Race

Cuban-Born Investor Hernandez Enters Crowded 2025 NYC Mayoral Race

Authors

11

6 months ago

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race

Authors

12

5 months ago

Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor

Authors

3

5 months ago

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Adams

YourMovieSucks.org (Adam) Stock

Nov 15, 2:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

12826009

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2899

559

Unkle Adams Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 9:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

3115124

OptionProbability

YES

NO

577

473

Nick Adams (Alpha Male) confirmed as ambassador to Malaysia before 2027?

Dec 13, 4:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.89%chance

44381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2726

368

Will Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:30 PM

43%chance

342962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1252

734

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.84%chance

292111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

503

Will Isaak Freeman and Adam Marblestone work together?

Dec 23, 7:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.45%chance

2210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

258

16

Will Jose Luis Ricon OR Adam Henry marblestone become an Xbox OR guitar hero avatar by 2033

Nov 20, 1:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.09%chance

160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Does Adam Marblestone have a steeper Kardashev gradient than @basedbeffjezos

Jan 26, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.51%chance

216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

78

63

Will Jose Ricon OR Adam Marblestone OR Ed Boyden OR Steve Horvath OR Jeremy nixon get a pet axolotl by 2032?

Sep 16, 7:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Adam marblestone win a nobel prize by 2070

Jan 22, 10:15 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Adam Z. go to prison for the killing of Ewa Tylman?

Feb 21, 9:54 PMDec 22, 10:59 PM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

55

45

Is Adam d'Angelo Aspie/autistic?

Oct 19, 6:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
New York
Politics
Jeffries Withholds Endorsement as Polls Test Mamdani’s 42% Lead in NYC Mayor Race
Authors
12
5 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Elections
Prediction Markets
New York
Cuomo Leads Mamdani 52%-41% Head-to-Head; Mamdani Tops Multi-Candidate Race with Adams Surging, Cuomo Pledges Dropout
Authors
10
5 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
New York
Culture
United States
Teen Cancer Survivor DJ Daniel Sworn In as NYC Honorary Deputy Mayor
Authors
3
5 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Elections
New York
Politics
Cuban-Born Investor Hernandez Enters Crowded 2025 NYC Mayoral Race
Authors
11
6 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Crime
New York
Culture
Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case
Authors
5
6 months ago

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