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Prediction markets for Alexander Lukashenko
Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
Jan 21, 4:40 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM
19572869
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
38
22
21
17
16
16
16
15
14
14
13
13
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
69
20
15
15
15
10
8
8
7
5
5
IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%
Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
3510993
OptionProbability
91
91
84
83
79
61
43
31
27
1
0
0
OptionProbability
11
11
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will any more top brass on the Russian side die before the end of the war on Ukraine? [See Description]
Jan 5, 1:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
91.71%chance
272836
OptionVotes
2279
738
Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin? (fixed)
Sep 28, 1:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
212725
OptionProbability
49
11
10
5
5
5
3
3
3
3
2
1
0
OptionProbability
46
17
8
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which politician on this list of 18 politicians will pass away next, or all zero if all live to mid 2027
Mar 2, 9:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
8715
OptionProbability
25
17
13
7
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
Jan 5, 10:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.14%chance
12562
OptionVotes
147
139
Which politician on this list of 20 politicians will pass away tenth?
Feb 18, 7:16 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
7462
OptionProbability
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
4
4
3
1
1
OptionVotes
292
34
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