OptionVotes
NO
YES
1427
701
1836
545
OptionProbability
Jess Wilson
Other
Jacinta Allan
Ben Carroll
Brad Battin
52
19
18
9
2
Nate Silver
Allan Lichtman
67
33
The Age endorses Labor
Greens primary vote share increases
Jacinta Allan retains her seat
Jacinta Allan leads Labor to the election
Labor wins more seats than One Nation
Greens win more seats than the Nationals
The election results in a hung parliament
Statewide Treaty Act 2025 is repealed by the end of 2027
Victoria holds a referendum on electoral reform by the end of 2028
Group voting tickets are abolished before the election
The Herald Sun endorses One Nation
One Nation wins more seats than the Liberals
80
59
55
50
45
35
30
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