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Prediction markets for Armando Zúñiga
Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
Jan 21, 4:40 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM
17263916
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
62
31
28
17
17
16
16
16
14
14
13
13
13
10
10
10
10
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10
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4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
OptionVotes
1981
505
OptionProbability
56
30
6
3
2
2
1
OptionProbability
80
8
6
6
OptionProbability
54
34
11
1
Will the common pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 24, 8:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10.89%chance
3280
OptionVotes
400
53
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will we ever have any idea (see description) whether COVID-19 came from a lab?
Mar 16, 7:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
60%chance
4238
OptionVotes
122
82
OptionProbability
26
26
19
12
8
8
OptionProbability
48
29
6
6
6
5
OptionVotes
107
77
Will the first artificial superintelligence (ASI) be a large language model (LLM)?
Apr 5, 1:09 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
41.17%chance
758
OptionVotes
120
84
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