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Prediction markets for Aubrey de Grey
If there is ever a cure to aging, what is it most likely to resemble?
Sep 23, 11:13 AMJul 19, 6:29 PM
485188
OptionProbability
43
26
17
5
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?
Dec 24, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.14%chance
291516
OptionVotes
1761
662
Will the mouse with the higher lifespan be found from Jose Luis Ricon's Rejuvenome or Aubrey de Grey's LEVF?
Jan 3, 8:45 AMDec 31, 6:01 PM
101037
OptionProbability
66
27
7
OptionVotes
555
47
OptionVotes
1249
942
Will Aubrey de Grey be re-instated in SOME role by SENS by 2025?
Apr 18, 10:27 PMJan 1, 7:01 PM
22.07%chance
14215
OptionVotes
1148
931
How much money will the LEV Foundation spend in 2025?
Dec 10, 8:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
77.57%chance
6133
OptionProbability
1091
996
OptionVotes
194
94
OptionVotes
117
85
Will Aubrey de Grey successfully impregnate a girl with his sperm?
Jan 7, 5:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.08%chance
339
OptionVotes
110
109
Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?
Jan 7, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
31.38%chance
430
OptionVotes
160
111
Will the LEV Foundation spend at least 10 million USD in 2025?
Dec 10, 8:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.01%chance
317
OptionVotes
93
87
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