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Trump Endorsement Vaults Byron Donalds Ahead in 2026 Florida GOP Race

6 months ago

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

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Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

5 months ago

Middle East

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US Envoy Says Israel and Syria Hold Good-Faith Security Talks

5 months ago

China

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Axios Says Putin Seeks China as Guarantor for U.S.–Europe Deal

6 months ago

Ukraine

War

US Foreign Policy

Rubio to Lead Ukraine Security Talks as Trump Pledges U.S. Air Support

6 months ago

Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030

Feb 14, 1:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.65%chance

182143

OptionVotes

YES

2150

728

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1260

Will the House vote on any resolution impeaching Pam Bondi?

Dec 23, 6:22 PMFeb 19, 10:59 AM

11980

OptionProbability

Before Feb 18,2026

Before Jan 10,2026

Before Jan 24,2026

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Oct 4, 12:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.05%chance

6804

OptionVotes

YES

764

Will fermats last theorem be formalized in lean down to the axiom in 5 years.

Feb 14, 6:58 PMFeb 28, 6:29 PM

59.73%chance

20779

OptionVotes

YES

255

168

Axiom of Choice stock

Apr 2, 7:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.31%chance

20526

OptionVotes

YES

1328

823

Will musicians and bands unionize before 2030?

Oct 14, 4:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.68%chance

10189

OptionVotes

YES

209

188

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

1061

942

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Oct 27, 8:14 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.52%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

111

108

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

Dec 2, 6:23 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

33.19%chance

468

OptionVotes

YES

142

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Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Will the House vote on any resolution impeaching Pam Bondi?

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Will fermats last theorem be formalized in lean down to the axiom in 5 years.

Axiom of Choice stock

Will musicians and bands unionize before 2030?

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

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