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Prediction markets for Biggs
OptionProbability
17
15
10
10
9
8
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
64.68%chance
25017310
OptionVotes
2518
1730
Will I believe 2025 is a bigger news year than 2024?
Jan 4, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
64.52%chance
4515811
OptionVotes
11214
9228
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
73
66
66
39
34
34
23
20
20
19
16
13
8
5
3
2
1
Will Japan have a bigger population than Russia in 2050?
Jul 2, 10:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
40.91%chance
343674
OptionVotes
1016
863
Which of the following countries will be the biggest country by GDP in 2050?
Dec 18, 9:10 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
422639
OptionProbability
55
36
5
3
0
0
0
Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?
Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM
23.17%chance
162229
OptionVotes
1821
549
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
Jan 13, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
56%chance
27888
OptionVotes
1324
622
Will SAP SE be the biggest European company by market cap on the 31st of December, 2025
Feb 13, 9:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
49.11%chance
5874
OptionVotes
1018
982
OptionVotes
1035
962
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?
Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM
72%chance
14346
OptionVotes
1091
949
Will France have a bigger population than Germany in 2050?
Jun 22, 12:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
56.91%chance
12203
OptionVotes
1068
943
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