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Prediction markets for Blume
EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?
Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47106751
OptionProbability
39
29
23
9
Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Mar 27, 4:01 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
68.87%chance
269476
OptionVotes
11258
6225
Will social conservatism in the US significantly affect the lives of people in blue states before 2029
Jul 17, 4:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
83.17%chance
365571
OptionVotes
2223
450
OptionVotes
1134
798
OptionVotes
3512
285
OptionVotes
1038
780
Will I still have a notable injury to my left knee after a year
Jun 12, 12:44 AMApr 25, 4:00 PM
45.16%chance
61220
OptionVotes
11020
9075
"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Apr 1, 4:08 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
17.17%chance
151215
OptionVotes
3494
2367
BOTW stands for breath of the wild. will i beat it by 2099?
Dec 6, 2:03 AMJan 1, 9:00 AM
56.96%chance
291138
OptionVotes
1184
562
OptionVotes
1395
444
How old will Cimorene be when she's able to travel to a BART station unsupervised?
Feb 11, 7:56 AMNov 10, 12:59 AM
34.29%chance
14248
OptionProbability
1036
921
By the end of 2026, will it be possible to purchase a motorcycle with a solid state battery for <$50k
Jan 6, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.77%chance
6137
OptionVotes
1046
956