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Top stories

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

Brazil Supreme Court Orders 24/7 Surveillance of Bolsonaro on Flight-Risk Fears

Authors

15

5 months ago

Brazil Police Trace R$30.6 Million to Bolsonaro, Suspect Laundering

Brazil Police Trace R$30.6 Million to Bolsonaro, Suspect Laundering

Authors

10

6 months ago

Economist Casts Bolsonaro Coup Trial as Democracy Lesson for United States

US Foreign Policy

Economist Casts Bolsonaro Coup Trial as Democracy Lesson for United States

Authors

4

5 months ago

Brazil's Lula Criticizes US, Calls Eduardo Bolsonaro Traitor, Urges Centrão Loyalty, Endorses Tarcísio for 2026, and Pushes Big Tech Regulation

Authors

8

5 months ago

Banco do Brasil Accuses Eduardo Bolsonaro Allies of False Financial Claims; AGU Seeks Federal Police Probe Amid Customer Withdrawal Urges

Authors

7

5 months ago

Bolsonaro’s Defense to Supreme Federal Court Denies Flight Risk, Cites Draft Asylum Amid Argentina Bribery Probe Involving Milei’s Sister

Authors

8

6 months ago

Lula Leads 2026 Race with 34%; Bolsonaro Faces STF Review, House Arrest, and Divided Public Opinion

Authors

5

6 months ago

Brazilian Federal Police Seize Passport and Cellphone of Silas Malafaia Who Calls Moraes 'Criminal' and Insults Eduardo Bolsonaro

Authors

3

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Bolsonaro

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

5.72%chance

1817218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15095

38

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

113329

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

180+ days

365+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

100

100

80

76

53

41

0

Will Jair Bolsonaro run for the Senate in 2026?

Apr 16, 7:48 PMSep 2, 2:59 AM

4.72%chance

142096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1569

910

Will Bolsonaro ever be brought to trial for genocide?

Jan 31, 1:39 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

3.2%chance

111902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

101

Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?

Feb 10, 2:09 AMDec 1, 6:59 PM

3.47%chance

151507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1623

903

Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jan 9, 5:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

5.35%chance

151429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1479

918

Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?

Aug 31, 2:24 AMOct 3, 11:59 PM

18.63%chance

71112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

478

Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?

Feb 3, 2:01 AMOct 27, 2:59 AM

5.43%chance

111032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1868

884

By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?

Feb 1, 12:52 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

57.81%chance

12990

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

790

Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?

Nov 21, 1:38 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

2.25%chance

11677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

648

22

Will Michelle Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jul 18, 6:36 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

11.14%chance

11312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

413

70

Will any member of Bolsonaro entourage be charged for taking bribes from the Saudis before 2027?

Mar 4, 3:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.71%chance

6146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

84

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