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Prediction markets for Bryan
How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?
Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
59.66%chance
235169020
OptionProbability
4766
4764
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?
Jan 19, 6:31 PMJan 31, 5:59 AM
5.84%chance
19370714
OptionVotes
5621
1696
Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
41%chance
2812484
OptionVotes
1194
457
Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?
Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM
1%chance
387936
OptionVotes
2753
1145
OptionProbability
1034
878
OptionVotes
1354
734
Will Bryan Johnson (the tech billionaire) succeed in his longevity pursuit?
Nov 2, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.99%chance
321578
OptionVotes
1163
913
Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?
Jan 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
55.79%chance
9580
OptionVotes
1123
890
Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?
Aug 15, 6:14 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
38.9%chance
3261
OptionVotes
1253
798
OptionVotes
1141
943
Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)
May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.36%chance
150
OptionVotes
1048
954
Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?
Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
51.48%chance
230
OptionVotes
1035
976
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