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Prediction markets for Bryan
How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?
Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
59.9%chance
243170837
OptionProbability
4793
4747
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?
Jan 19, 6:31 PMJan 31, 5:59 AM
5.72%chance
19470814
OptionVotes
5721
1690
Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
42%chance
2812543
OptionVotes
1204
443
Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?
Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM
1.08%chance
418556
OptionVotes
2563
1147
OptionProbability
1033
879
OptionVotes
1352
735
Will Bryan Johnson (the tech billionaire) succeed in his longevity pursuit?
Nov 2, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.99%chance
321578
OptionVotes
1163
913
OptionVotes
1122
948
Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?
Jan 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
55.79%chance
9580
OptionVotes
1123
890
Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?
Aug 15, 6:14 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
37.06%chance
4311
OptionVotes
1303
767
Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)
May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.36%chance
150
OptionVotes
1048
954
Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?
Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
51.48%chance
230
OptionVotes
1035
976
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