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Prediction markets for Bukele
Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
Jan 21, 4:40 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM
19472493
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
38
23
21
20
19
16
16
16
16
14
14
13
13
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
OptionProbability
100
96
59
57
51
29
19
17
14
12
12
11
11
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
Jul 29, 1:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
67.14%chance
304222
OptionVotes
1509
542
OptionVotes
2031
492
Will Nayib Bukele's Anti-Gang strategy be seen as a positive model in 2030?
Feb 25, 9:55 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM
42.03%chance
13835
OptionVotes
1355
600
Which of the following will be true by 2030? (Nayib Bukele Questions)
Oct 1, 10:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
5676
OptionProbability
60
53
20
20
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.7%chance
15616
OptionVotes
1403
713
Will Nayib Bukele be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
Sep 7, 6:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
22%chance
8521
OptionVotes
208
122
Will Nayib Bukele peacefully transition out of power before 2035?
Aug 6, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
53.72%chance
11285
OptionVotes
205
172
Will Nayib Bukele be extradited to The Hague before 2035?
Mar 13, 4:27 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
24.2%chance
3204
OptionVotes
177
56
OptionVotes
138
72
Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?
Apr 17, 9:31 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
56.62%chance
330
OptionVotes
207
194
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