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Top stories

Redshirt Freshman CJ Carr, Grandson of Lloyd Carr, Named Starting QB for No. 6 Notre Dame vs No. 10 Miami on August 31

Redshirt Freshman CJ Carr, Grandson of Lloyd Carr, Named Starting QB for No. 6 Notre Dame vs No. 10 Miami on August 31

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Carr

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3%chance

26155752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60647

2307

Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?

Dec 17, 5:10 PMFeb 23, 7:59 AM

55.39%chance

9620273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1450

885

Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?

May 19, 5:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.34%chance

1257897

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2959

2889

Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?

Mar 7, 12:05 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

69.56%chance

406214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3162

2308

Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?

Jan 4, 2:01 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.99%chance

294426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

895

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Sep 30, 9:28 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

143525

OptionProbability

Susie Wiles

Stephen Miller

Amy Gleason

Pete Hegseth

Kelly Loeffler

Steven Cheung

Brooke Rollins

Kash Patel

Steve Witkoff

Mike Huckabee

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Howard Lutnick

Linda McMahon

Chris Wright

Marco Rubio

Bill Pulte

Doug Collins

Peter Navarro

Doug Burgum

Rodney Scott

Scott Turner

John Ratcliffe

Russell Vought

Sean Duffy

Tom Homan

Jamieson Greer

Lee Zeldin

Brendan Carr

Mehmet Oz

Scott Bessent

99

99

68

38

34

30

25

23

21

21

21

21

21

21

20

19

18

18

17

15

15

14

14

14

13

13

12

11

11

7

If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this?

Jun 12, 8:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.71%chance

141561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1517

659

[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

May 18, 4:42 PMJan 2, 12:00 PM

44.23%chance

71047

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

891

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

Jun 3, 12:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

71.04%chance

11918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1566

638

If another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?

Jun 3, 6:34 PMJun 4, 6:59 AM

56.16%chance

17891

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

884

China has nuclear-powered carrier in service by end 2040?

Sep 19, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.11%chance

9690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1280

781

Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034

May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.95%chance

5350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

960

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
NCAA
Sports
Redshirt Freshman CJ Carr, Grandson of Lloyd Carr, Named Starting QB for No. 6 Notre Dame vs No. 10 Miami on August 31
Authors
10
1 year ago

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